The usual anti-Israel/anti-AIPAC arguments recycled with lots of footnotes.
http://ksgnotes1.harvard.edu/Research/wpaper.nsf/rwp/RWP06-011
Here were my quick reactions:
Before reading the article:
Bear in mind that after 1967 France stopped supplying Israel with weapons. France was Israel's main arms supplier. The US had an embargo and Britain had close ties to the Arab countries. In 1966 the French war in Algeria ended, and the French didn't have to worry about Pan Arab nationalism anymore.
Meanwhile, the Soviet Union was giving arms to the Arab states like nobody's business. So, if the US hadn't stepped in, the Arab states would have destroyed Israel. I'm not being alarmist, that's what the goals of Syria and Egypt were at the time.
Then you would have had Nasser free to cause more problems for the Saudis. Nasser had pretty much fought a proxy war against the Saudis in Yemen during this time period.
So a pro Western democracy would have gone under. And there would have been a second genocide against the Jews.
OK, so the USSR is gone. The Arab "confrontation states" are economic basket cases and won't be a serious military threat to Israel for a long time.
So a lot of the aid/assistance is a historic hangover from the Cold War.
Now to take a critical look at the paper:
1. Israel can spend some American aid internally since it was considered that Israeli made weapons subsidized by the US was less politically inflamatory to the Arab world.
2. The Lavi fighter jet program was canceled due to American pressure.
3. Vetoes at the UN since 1982? Gee, the organization that formally equated Zionism with racism? And how many of those vetoes took place before the fall of the Soviet Union?
4. The 1973 cease-fire was not in Israel's interest. Israel had the Egyptian 3rd army surrounded and wanted to destroy it. In order to save the honor of the Egyptian army, the US pushed through a cease-fire. This enabled disengagement agreements and the subsequent Camp David Peace treaty between Egypt and Israel. Egypt got back every inch of Sinai and had the first ever formal Israel recognition of Palestinian national aspirations in the treaty. That's American diplomacy working solely in favor of Israel?
Israel had larger armed forces than the invading Arab armies in 1947-9? I'm sorry, but that's laughable. 1% of Israel's population was killed in the fighting in 1947-9. That's like the US losing 2.5 million people in a war today. You call that easy?
Israel's victories in 1947-9, 56, and 67 took place despite material and numerical disadvantages. 1973 was a close thing. I've been to the Bnot Yaakov bridge that marked the high point of the Syrian advance in 1973. If their tank officers hadn't been following Soviet doctrine, the Syrians would have continued marching to the sea and cut Israel in half on the third day of the war. Instead, they achieved their objectives early and stopped to get instructions.
Yes, so now Israel isn't the military underdog today. But that certainly has not been the case in the past.
The authors conveniently ignore historic Arab anti-semitism and the fact that over half of Israel's Jewish population comes from Jewish refugees who were ejected from Arab countries without compensation.
Boy, I'm glad that the authors of the paper deign to admit that blowing up pizzerias and discos inside of Israel is wrong.
European anti-semitism is waning? Horseshit. A French Jew is brutally tortured and killed for being Jewish and the resulting protest means that the French don't have a problem with anti-semitism?
As usual, we get the apologetics over Arafat's "Al Aksa Intifada". If at Camp David the Israel offer doesn't go far enough, the proper reaction from a partner for Peace is to launch a campaign of suicide bombings of civilians?